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[SMM Coal and Coke Daily Brief] 20251124

iconNov 24, 2025 17:19
[SMM Daily Coke and Coal Briefing] In terms of supply, with coking coal costs declining, most coke plants remain profitable and maintain moderate production enthusiasm, leading to steady or slightly increased coke production. Demand side, finished steel destocking performance is weak, and steel mills are generally operating with low or negative margins, resulting in limited production motivation. After active replenishment, most steel mills have reached safe coke inventory levels and have shifted to purchasing as needed. Overall, the supply-demand structure of coke has shifted from tight to a weak balance, and the coke market is expected to remain stable in the short term.

[SMM Daily Coking Coal and Coke Brief]

Coking Coal Market:

The quoted price for low-sulphur coking coal in Linfen is 1,670 yuan/mt. The quoted price for low-sulphur coking coal in Tangshan is 1,650 yuan/mt.

Fundamentals of raw materials: Some mines have reduced production due to safety inspections, leading to a certain contraction in coking coal supply. Inventory pressure at mines is not yet significant. However, downstream buyers remain cautious. Order signing at mines is moderate, and the pace of shipments has slowed. Prices of some high-grade coal types are under pressure, while prices of other coal types remain stable for now.

Coke Market:

The nationwide average price for first-grade metallurgical coke - dry quench is 1,955 yuan/mt. The nationwide average price for quasi-first-grade metallurgical coke - dry quench is 1,815 yuan/mt. The nationwide average price for first-grade metallurgical coke - wet quench is 1,590 yuan/mt. The nationwide average price for quasi-first-grade metallurgical coke - wet quench is 1,500 yuan/mt.

Supply side, coking plants' coal input costs have decreased, with most coking plants maintaining profitability. Production enthusiasm is moderate, and coke production is stable with a slight increase. Demand side, finished steel destocking is poor, and steel mills are in a state of low profit or even losses, resulting in average production enthusiasm. After active transportation, most steel mills' coke inventory has reached safe levels, and subsequent purchasing will shift to purchasing as needed. In summary, the coke supply-demand structure has shifted from tight to a weak balance. In the short term, the coke market is expected to operate steadily.[SMM Steel]

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market exchanges, and relying on SMM's internal database model, for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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